ES Metlaoui 2-0 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +13%
1.06/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.61
+40% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
22.02.2025 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-1 HT 2-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
26.10.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
03.03.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
12.12.2020 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
22.02.2020 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 5-1 HT 2-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui got the better of Etoile Du Sahel 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; ES Metlaoui found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ES Metlaoui and 2.00 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Etoile Du Sahel?

ES Metlaoui 2-0 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Etoile Du Sahel win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 32%, draw 32%, Etoile Du Sahel 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Etoile Du Sahel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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