Gaddafi 2-0 Calvary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Apr 2026

📅29/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.6
No
59%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
34%
+6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
66%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Calvary EU Bookmakers 12%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.98/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.90
-51% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaddafi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Calvary
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.11.2025 Calvary 2-4 HT 0-1 Gaddafi Gaddafi UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaddafi
2-0
AWAY Calvary
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gaddafi vs Calvary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaddafi got the better of Calvary 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gaddafi as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gaddafi had 64% of the ball to Calvary's 36%, shots finished 20-5.

What was the final score of Gaddafi vs Calvary?

Gaddafi 2-0 Calvary in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaddafi vs Calvary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaddafi win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Gaddafi 63%, draw 22%, Calvary 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaddafi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gaddafi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
29 Apr 2026
16:00 Buhimba United Saints vs Lugazi Municipal Analysis →
16:00 Uganda Police vs UPDF Analysis →
20:00 Kampala City vs Vipers Analysis →