Uganda Police 2-0 UPDF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Apr 2026

Uganda Police
2-0 HT 1-0
UPDF
📅29/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Uganda Police vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.76
No
40%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.1pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.0pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
53%
+7.4pp
40%
BTTS No
47%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uganda Police v UPDF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY UPDF EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +22%
1.50/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.86
+8% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Uganda Police vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
2W-2D-0L
AWAY UPDF
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.11.2025 UPDF UPDF 1-2 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
27.11.2024 UPDF UPDF 2-2 HT 1-2 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
10.02.2022 Uganda Police Uganda Police 2-2 HT 0-2 UPDF UPDF UGA
04.01.2022 UPDF UPDF 0-1 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA

Uganda Police 2-0 UPDF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda Police
2-0
AWAY UPDF
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs UPDF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uganda Police saw off UPDF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uganda Police as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uganda Police had 36% of the ball to UPDF's 64%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uganda Police had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Uganda Police and 1.25 for UPDF.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs UPDF?

Uganda Police 2-0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs UPDF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 44%, draw 34%, UPDF 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uganda Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UGA More Uganda - Premier League
29 Apr 2026
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