Uganda Police 2-0 UPDF — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Apr 2026

Uganda Police Elo 1330 · World #2767 (clubs) WLLWL→
2 - 0 HT 1 - 0
UPDF Elo 1268 · World #3001 (clubs) DWLWD→
📅29/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Uganda Police vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 18:44
Match Result
Home
51%
1.85
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
3.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.87
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Uganda Police v UPDF — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Uganda Police The Market 54%
Signal
AWAY UPDF The Market 28%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.92 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.93
1.07 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.22
Average Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 1

Uganda Police vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
2W-2D-0L
AWAY UPDF
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.11.2025 UPDF UPDF 1-2 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
27.11.2024 UPDF UPDF 2-2 HT 1-2 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
10.02.2022 Uganda Police Uganda Police 2-2 HT 0-2 UPDF UPDF UGA
04.01.2022 UPDF UPDF 0-1 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA

Uganda Police 2-0 UPDF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda Police
2 - 0
AWAY UPDF
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
REVIEW Uganda Police vs UPDF
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Uganda Police had too much for UPDF 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Uganda Police as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, UPDF saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uganda Police had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.75 a game for Uganda Police against 1.25 for UPDF.

Uganda Police vs UPDF Result & Final Score

Uganda Police 2 - 0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Uganda Police vs UPDF Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 51%, draw 27%, UPDF 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uganda Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UGA More Uganda - Premier League
29 Apr 2026
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