SuperSport United 1-1 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 35% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.9pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.58/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.39
-30% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
25.5 Crosses 15.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SuperSport United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Golden Arrows
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
280 Passes 316
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
30.10.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
03.04.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-2 HT 0-2 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
29.08.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-3 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
05.03.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
07.01.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 2-1 HT 2-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SuperSport United
1-1
AWAY Golden Arrows
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
131 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
3 Box Touches 7
8 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United and Golden Arrows shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was SuperSport United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, SuperSport United had 38% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 62%, shots finished 3-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Golden Arrows led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SuperSport United and 1.50 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs Golden Arrows?

SuperSport United 1-1 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 46%, draw 31%, Golden Arrows 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SuperSport United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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