Indy Eleven 4-4 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 29 May 2025

📅29/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.31
6+ Goals
13%
12.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.31 — our 25% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.72/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.67
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.3 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.51 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
323 Passes 327
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
19.05.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 4-1 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
25.06.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
11.06.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
14.08.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-1 HT 2-1 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
01.05.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
4-4
AWAY Hartford Athletic
2.41 xG 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
309 Passes 200
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Indy Eleven and Hartford Athletic shared the points in a 4-4 draw in the USL Championship on 29 May 2025. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 58% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 42%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 2.41 to 3.00.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Indy Eleven and 0.67 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?

Indy Eleven 4-4 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 47%, draw 24%, Hartford Athletic 30%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Indy Eleven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Indy Eleven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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