Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Las Vegas Lights v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Las Vegas Lights 0-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Las Vegas Lights 1-0 away from home.
From a near-even 33% / 27% / 40% read, it was Phoenix Rising who turned the coin-flip their way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 56% to 44% in Las Vegas Lights's favour, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.54 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Las Vegas Lights.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Las Vegas Lights against 1.00 for Phoenix Rising.
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
Las Vegas Lights 0 - 1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 33%, draw 27%, Phoenix Rising 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.