Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
2-3
HT 1-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
3-2
HT 2-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 0-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising nicked a narrow win over Las Vegas Lights 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Phoenix Rising made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 56% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 44%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.54 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Las Vegas Lights.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 1.00 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
Las Vegas Lights 0-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 29/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated an Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 34%, draw 27%, Phoenix Rising 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.