Thisted 1-2 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 29 May 2026

Thisted
1-2 HT 1-2
Roskilde
📅29/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Thisted vs Roskilde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.36
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
15%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 30% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thisted v Roskilde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.28/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.31
-9% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Thisted vs Roskilde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Roskilde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.04.2026 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
01.11.2025 Roskilde Roskilde 1-2 HT 1-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
21.09.2025 Thisted Thisted 0-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
18.11.2023 Thisted Thisted 1-3 HT 0-2 Roskilde Roskilde DAN2
14.10.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 2-3 HT 1-3 Thisted Thisted DAN2
06.04.2023 Roskilde Roskilde 0-1 HT 0-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roskilde edged past Thisted 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Thisted at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thisted had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Thisted and 1.00 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Roskilde?

Thisted 1-2 Roskilde in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thisted win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Thisted 45%, draw 24%, Roskilde 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thisted) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thisted) ✓ BTTS Yes
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