Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 May 2026

📅29/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
5.23
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.81/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.06
-39% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.6 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 0.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
282 Passes 217
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
21.01.2025 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
16.04.2024 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 1-1 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR2P
14.07.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-1 HT 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
28.05.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 3-2 HT 2-2 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSRK
05.02.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-2 HT 0-2 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
4-2
AWAY Haras El Hodood
2.18 xG 1.99
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
262 Passes 343
12 Box Touches 24
4 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla saw off Haras El Hodood 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Ghazl El Mehalla made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 39% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 61%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 2.18 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haras El Hodood led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.50 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood?

Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 38%, draw 31%, Haras El Hodood 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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