Fredrikstad 2-1 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 May 2026

Fredrikstad
2-1 HT 0-1
Start
📅29/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Fredrikstad vs Start Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.0
Over 2.5
59%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.13 — our 26% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
27%
4.54
X/2
6%
7.88
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2
13%
5.8
2/X
4%
14.25
Value flag · X/1 at 4.54 — our 27% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v Start — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.51/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.61
-3% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.1 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Fredrikstad vs Start Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Start
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Start Start 2-2 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
11.06.2023 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-1 HT 1-0 Start Start NOR1
31.07.2022 Start Start 1-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.04.2022 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR1
26.09.2021 Start Start 2-6 HT 2-4 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
18.08.2021 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-2 HT 1-1 Start Start NOR1

Fredrikstad 2-1 Start — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
2-1
AWAY Start
1.03 xG 1.24
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
486 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad nicked a narrow win over Start 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 62% of the ball to Start's 38%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.03 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.33 for Start.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Start?

Fredrikstad 2-1 Start in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 54%, draw 22%, Start 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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