Brann 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 May 2026

📅29/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.45
X/1
22%
4.57
X/2
6%
9.06
X/X
9%
6.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.0
2/2
12%
6.13
2/X
7%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.0 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.90/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.62
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
37.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.9 Crosses 17.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.89 xG 1.86
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
430 Passes 218
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-4 HT 0-1 Brann Brann NOR
16.05.2025 Brann Brann 2-2 HT 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
01.09.2024 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
20.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-1 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
03.09.2023 Brann Brann 1-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
13.05.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 2-0 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
1-2
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
0.89 xG 1.10
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
488 Passes 160
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
44 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brann vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 nicked a narrow win over Brann 2-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Brann carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brann had 69% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 31%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.89 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brann and 1.50 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Brann vs Sarpsborg 08?

Brann 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brann 56%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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