Sarpsborg 08 1-4 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.42
2-3 Goals
41%
2.04
4-5 Goals
24%
2.71
6+ Goals
14%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.67
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.6
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
17%
6.33
X/2
15%
5.91
X/X
11%
5.86
2/1
6%
23.95
2/2
12%
3.3
2/X
10%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.6 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.5pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
1.40/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.39
-17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
20.2 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brann
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.76 xG 1.73
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
211 Passes 412
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2025 Brann Brann 2-2 HT 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
01.09.2024 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
20.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-1 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR
03.09.2023 Brann Brann 1-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
13.05.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 2-0 Brann Brann NOR
12.12.2021 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
1-4
AWAY Brann
0.97 xG 2.90
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 31
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 14
230 Passes 531
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
28 Box Touches 57
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann cruised past Sarpsborg 08 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Brann made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 34% of the ball to Brann's 66%, shots finished 13-31, expected goals 0.97 to 2.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.33 for Brann.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Brann?

Sarpsborg 08 1-4 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 39%, draw 26%, Brann 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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