Valerenga 3-1 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 May 2026

📅29/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.31
X/2
6%
10.45
X/X
8%
6.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.25
2/2
12%
7.5
2/X
5%
15.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.25 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-2.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.00/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.69
-4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
23.6 Crosses 16.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
437 Passes 339
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 3-3 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
27.04.2025 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
10.12.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 0-2 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
06.12.2023 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
11.09.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-2 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
10.07.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
3-1
AWAY Kristiansund BK
2.95 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
415 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
43 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga saw off Kristiansund BK 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Valerenga had 52% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 48%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.95 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valerenga and 1.33 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK?

Valerenga 3-1 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 56%, draw 20%, Kristiansund BK 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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