Valerenga 3-3 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.12
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.58
X/2
5%
9.95
X/X
12%
6.41
2/1
8%
19.8
2/2
11%
6.95
2/X
7%
15.05
Value flag · X/1 at 4.58 — our 26% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.02/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.79
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
38.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
24.5 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
398 Passes 309
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
10.12.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 0-2 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
06.12.2023 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-2 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
11.09.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 3-2 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
10.07.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 3-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
12.12.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
3-3
AWAY Kristiansund BK
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
507 Passes 348
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga and Kristiansund BK shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valerenga at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Valerenga had 58% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 42%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valerenga and 1.17 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK?

Valerenga 3-3 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 54%, draw 24%, Kristiansund BK 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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