Stromsgodset 2-6 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.84
2-3 Goals
37%
2.07
4-5 Goals
25%
2.55
6+ Goals
15%
5.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.76
1/2
6%
21.8
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.61
X/2
12%
5.94
X/X
7%
6.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.0
2/2
25%
3.19
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.0pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.71/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.97
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
22.3 Crosses 24.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 1.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
316 Passes 379
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-2 HT 2-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
09.08.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
08.07.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 1-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
19.03.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-3 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord HAZ
16.09.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
16.05.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
2-6
AWAY Sandefjord
2.07 xG 3.41
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 15
10 Corners 7
423 Passes 364
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 29
28 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord cruised past Stromsgodset 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sandefjord as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 54% of the ball to Sandefjord's 46%, shots finished 19-24, expected goals 2.07 to 3.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.83 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord?

Stromsgodset 2-6 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 36%, draw 21%, Sandefjord 43%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandefjord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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22 Nov 2025
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