Tromsö 1-0 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
15%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.81
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
5%
12.85
X/X
11%
6.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.8
2/2
8%
10.1
2/X
4%
18.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-1.2pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.2pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.07/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.43
-19% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -26%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.1 Crosses 13.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rosenborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.42 xG 1.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
464 Passes 397
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-1 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
04.08.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
20.05.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-2 HT 0-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
09.03.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 Tromsö Tromsö HAZ
03.09.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.07.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
1-0
AWAY Rosenborg
1.93 xG 0.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
371 Passes 519
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
37 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Rosenborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö nicked a narrow win over Rosenborg 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tromsö had 42% of the ball to Rosenborg's 58%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.93 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tromsö's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tromsö and 2.17 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Rosenborg?

Tromsö 1-0 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 62%, draw 19%, Rosenborg 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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