Molde 4-0 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 22 Nov 2025

Molde
4-0 HT 0-0
Brann
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.9
6+ Goals
15%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.1
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
14%
6.89
X/2
12%
5.35
X/X
9%
5.48
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.01
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
32%
+11.1pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-6.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.35/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.30
+30% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 82%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.4
24.1 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brann
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.63 xG 1.83
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
195 Passes 451
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2025 Brann Brann 0-3 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
23.11.2024 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 2-0 Brann Brann NOR
26.05.2024 Brann Brann 1-3 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
19.03.2024 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann HAZ
21.10.2023 Brann Brann 3-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
09.07.2023 Molde Molde 2-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
4-0
AWAY Brann
0.64 xG 0.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
344 Passes 529
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Molde vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde cruised past Brann 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Molde had 42% of the ball to Brann's 58%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.64 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Molde and 0.83 for Brann.

What was the final score of Molde vs Brann?

Molde 4-0 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Molde 43%, draw 21%, Brann 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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