Gyirmot 2-2 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jun 2024

Gyirmot
2-2 HT 2-1
Ajka
📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyirmot EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.00/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/1.60
+18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyirmot
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ajka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.03.2024 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyirmot Gyirmot MAC2
27.09.2023 Gyirmot Gyirmot 2-1 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
26.04.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Gyirmot Gyirmot MAC2
06.11.2022 Gyirmot Gyirmot 1-3 HT 1-2 Ajka Ajka MAC2
19.09.2021 Ajka Ajka 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyirmot Gyirmot MACK
04.04.2021 Gyirmot Gyirmot 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
POST-MATCH Gyirmot vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyirmot and Ajka couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gyirmot at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gyirmot and 1.00 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Gyirmot vs Ajka?

Gyirmot 2-2 Ajka in the Friendlies on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyirmot vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyirmot win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gyirmot 47%, draw 26%, Ajka 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyirmot) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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