Estudiantes Caseros 0-1 Central Norte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Norte EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.50/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.18
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Central Norte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.02.2025 Central Norte Central Norte 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Central Norte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Norte squeezed past Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes Caseros at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Central Norte?

Estudiantes Caseros 0-1 Central Norte in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Central Norte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 53%, draw 29%, Central Norte 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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