Deportivo Maipu 0-1 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.27
No
67%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
33%
BTTS Yes
40%
-6.9pp
67%
BTTS No
60%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.01/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.87
-1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
0W-1D-2L
AWAY San Miguel
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
22.02.2025 San Miguel San Miguel 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
06.10.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 0-0 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
18.05.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel edged past Deportivo Maipu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 35% / 29% — and on the day San Miguel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (67%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Miguel led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.67 for San Miguel.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs San Miguel?

Deportivo Maipu 0-1 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 36%, draw 35%, San Miguel 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
29 Jun 2025
02:00 San Martin Tucuman vs Patronato Analysis →
20:45 All Boys vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →
21:00 Estudiantes Caseros vs Central Norte Analysis →
21:30 Club Atletico Guemes vs Los Andes Analysis →
21:30 Alvarado vs Racing Cordoba Analysis →
22:00 Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Almagro Analysis →