Deportivo Maipu 1-1 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.52/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.03
+13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY San Miguel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
18.05.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu and San Miguel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Maipu at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs San Miguel?

Deportivo Maipu 1-1 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 47%, draw 34%, San Miguel 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Maipu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
6 Oct 2024
02:00 All Boys vs San Martin San Juan Analysis →
21:00 Alvarado vs Estudiantes Caseros Analysis →
21:10 Brown De Adrogue vs Club Atletico Mitre Analysis →
21:30 Tristan Suarez vs Arsenal Sarandi Analysis →
21:30 Deportivo Madryn vs Defensores Unidos Analysis →
22:00 Gimnasia Jujuy vs Quilmes Analysis →