San Martin Tucuman 0-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.35/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.43
+2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Patronato
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 2.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
341 Passes 136
77% Pass Accuracy 61%
23 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2025 Patronato Patronato 0-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
06.10.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-1 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
21.05.2024 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
17.09.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-3 HT 1-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
08.05.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
13.11.2018 Patronato Patronato 3-3 HT 3-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJ
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato nicked a narrow win over San Martin Tucuman 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was San Martin Tucuman at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for San Martin Tucuman and 0.67 for Patronato.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs Patronato?

San Martin Tucuman 0-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 47%, draw 29%, Patronato 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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