FC Sheriff 5-1 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 29 Jun 2025

📅29/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.11
Draw
12%
8.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
1.0
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
4%
1/X
2%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
85%
-11.2pp
12%
Draw
8%
+3.7pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
2.20/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/3.33
-29% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -30%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
498 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
09.03.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 3-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
21.10.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
13.08.2023 Sparta Selemet 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
5-1
AWAY Sparta Selemet
70% Ball Possession 30%
25 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff cruised past Sparta Selemet 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 70% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 30%, shots finished 25-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.00 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Sparta Selemet?

FC Sheriff 5-1 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 74%, draw 12%, Sparta Selemet 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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29 Jun 2025
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