Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 Jun 2025

Bodo/Glimt
1-2 HT 1-1
Sarpsborg 08
📅29/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
8.3
2-3 Goals
37%
2.41
4-5 Goals
32%
2.45
6+ Goals
16%
4.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.42
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
21.0
X/1
11%
4.17
X/2
8%
21.4
X/X
8%
10.6
2/1
7%
18.2
2/2
8%
16.2
2/X
6%
24.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-18.2pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.8pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+5.5pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-5.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.0pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bodo/Glimt v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +26%
2.29/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.99
+30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +10%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
494 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
40.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.1 Crosses 13.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo/Glimt
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.35 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
431 Passes 340
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
44 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 6-0 HT 2-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
28.06.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-2 HT 1-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
03.12.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
10.04.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-2 HT 0-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
12.08.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-4 HT 0-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
09.07.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 4-1 HT 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
POST-MATCH Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 edged past Bodo/Glimt 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bodo/Glimt at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 0.50 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08?

Bodo/Glimt 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo/Glimt vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bodo/Glimt 55%, draw 23%, Sarpsborg 08 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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