Fredrikstad 0-1 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 29 Jun 2025

Fredrikstad
0-1 HT 0-1
Tromsö
📅29/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Fredrikstad vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.64
Over 2.5
56%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.68
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
14%
5.31
X/2
11%
5.95
X/X
9%
4.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.39
2/X
6%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 11% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
57%
-12.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
43%
+12.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.72/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.39
+45% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.8 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Fredrikstad vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tromsö
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
280 Passes 384
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.05.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
25.05.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
26.10.2014 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
06.04.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-2 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR1
05.08.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
25.03.2012 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR

Fredrikstad 0-1 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
0-1
AWAY Tromsö
1.44 xG 0.85
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
451 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö squeezed past Fredrikstad 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Fredrikstad at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 57% of the ball to Tromsö's 43%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.85 — on chances, Fredrikstad could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.17 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Tromsö?

Fredrikstad 0-1 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 44%, draw 24%, Tromsö 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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