Fortaleza 2-1 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Jun 2026

📅29/06/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 26%
+14% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.35/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.07
+117% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.4 Crosses 18.8
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sport Recife
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.18 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2025 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
27.04.2025 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
04.04.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BRCDN
01.04.2022 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BRCDN
27.09.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
14.06.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza
2-1
AWAY Sport Recife
1.28 xG 2.24
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
286 Passes 451
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Fortaleza vs Sport Recife
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fortaleza edged past Sport Recife 2-1 in the Brazil - Serie B on 29 Jun 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fortaleza had 40% of the ball to Sport Recife's 60%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.28 to 2.24.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fortaleza and 0.17 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Sport Recife?

Fortaleza 2-1 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 44%, draw 28%, Sport Recife 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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