Sport Recife 0-0 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.10/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.53
-33% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
29.3 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fortaleza
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.61 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BRCDN
01.04.2022 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BRCDN
27.09.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
14.06.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
07.01.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
10.09.2020 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
0-0
AWAY Fortaleza
1.26 xG 0.85
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
416 Passes 276
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sport Recife vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Recife and Fortaleza played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Recife at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sport Recife had 58% of the ball to Fortaleza's 42%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sport Recife and 0.83 for Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Fortaleza?

Sport Recife 0-0 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 45%, draw 25%, Fortaleza 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sport Recife) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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