Flamengo 4-0 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.87
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
18.15
X/1
20%
3.75
X/2
8%
12.95
X/X
12%
5.16
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
12%
12.0
2/X
6%
21.0
Value flag · 2/2 at 12.0 — our 12% vs market 5.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 18%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.76/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.50
-6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.2 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Corinthians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.10 xG 1.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
415 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 0-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BRK
03.10.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
01.09.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
11.05.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
08.10.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
21.05.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
4-0
AWAY Corinthians
2.23 xG 0.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
478 Passes 395
92% Pass Accuracy 90%
34 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo swept aside Corinthians 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Flamengo had 54% of the ball to Corinthians's 46%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.23 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Flamengo and 0.50 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Corinthians?

Flamengo 4-0 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 49%, draw 24%, Corinthians 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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