Corinthians 0-0 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.4
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.04
X/2
10%
6.23
X/X
14%
3.92
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
10%
4.6
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corinthians EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.31/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.03
+26% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +120%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.0 Crosses 12.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corinthians
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Flamengo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
312 Passes 456
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BRK
01.09.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
11.05.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
08.10.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
21.05.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
03.11.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corinthians
0-0
AWAY Flamengo
0.55 xG 0.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 5
367 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Corinthians vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians and Flamengo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Corinthians had 59% of the ball to Flamengo's 41%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.55 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Corinthians vs Flamengo?

Corinthians 0-0 Flamengo in the Brazil - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 41%, draw 29%, Flamengo 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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