Mirassol FC 2-2 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
5.28
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.96
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
16%
6.21
X/2
16%
4.95
X/X
13%
3.8
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
9%
3.51
2/X
7%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+8.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
40%
-8.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 43%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.56/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.16
+150% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
14.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
2-2
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.79 xG 1.64
39% Ball Possession 61%
20 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
213 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC and Atletico Mineiro shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 39% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 61%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.79 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Atletico Mineiro?

Mirassol FC 2-2 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 39%, draw 29%, Atletico Mineiro 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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