Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
9%
7.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.91 — our 29% vs market 15.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 42%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
0.16/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-89% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
50.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
1-0
AWAY Como
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh edged past Como 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Al Hilal Riyadh made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 56% of the ball to Como's 44%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Como?

Al Hilal Riyadh 1-0 Como in the Friendlies on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 40%, draw 28%, Como 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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