29/07/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
3-1
Monza vs Vis Pesaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
82%
20%
Draw
10%
16%
Away Win
7%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monza v Vis Pesaro — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Monza
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Vis Pesaro
EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-6% /
-6%
3.29/0.59
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/3.00
+31%
/
+50%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-22%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
16
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
4
484 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
240 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
–
Monza vs Vis Pesaro Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Monza
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Vis Pesaro
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
67%
Ball Possession
33%
10
Total Shots
3
7
Shots on Target
1
3
Corners
2
The Meetings
23.07.2023
Monza
3-0
Vis Pesaro
HAZ
3-0
Vis Pesaro
HAZ
POST-MATCH
Monza vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Monza saw off Vis Pesaro 3-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monza as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Monza vs Vis Pesaro?
Monza 3-1 Vis Pesaro in the Friendlies on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monza vs Vis Pesaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Monza 63%, draw 20%, Vis Pesaro 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monza), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Monza)
✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
29 Jul 2024