CD Real Sociedad 0-3 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Jul 2024

📅29/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.08/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.58
-20% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Espana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
4 Corners 2
29.04.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 2-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
05.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-3 HT 1-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
09.11.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
14.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
13.09.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
13.04.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana ran out comfortable winners over CD Real Sociedad 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Real Espana made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Real Sociedad had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.17 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Real Espana?

CD Real Sociedad 0-3 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 36%, draw 28%, Real Espana 36%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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