Leiknir Reykjavik 0-2 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 29 Jul 2025

📅29/07/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 57%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.01/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.86
-30% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Keflavik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.17
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2025 Keflavik Keflavik 6-0 HT 2-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
07.03.2025 Keflavik Keflavik 5-4 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
14.08.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
05.06.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 5-0 HT 5-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
22.10.2022 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-7 HT 0-3 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
08.08.2022 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik beat Leiknir Reykjavik 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 4.17 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Leiknir Reykjavik 0-2 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 29/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 28%, draw 25%, Keflavik 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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