Kopenhag 2-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 29 Jul 2026

📅29/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.0pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kopenhag
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Polessya
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.87 xG 2.87
11 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
405 Passes 394
22 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2026 Polessya Polessya 3-3 HT 2-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kopenhag
2-1
AWAY Polessya
1.86 xG 1.47
5 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 14
204 Passes 508
8 Box Touches 31
6 Crosses 43
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kopenhag vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kopenhag edged past Polessya 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kopenhag as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 5-26, expected goals 1.86 to 1.47.

What was the final score of Kopenhag vs Polessya?

Kopenhag 2-1 Polessya in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kopenhag vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kopenhag 54%, draw 20%, Polessya 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kopenhag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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