Atletico Tigre 1-2 Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 29 Jul 2026

📅29/07/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.92
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.53
X/2
10%
7.28
X/X
12%
3.66
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
13%
6.09
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
0.77/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.81
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +103%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
17.0 Crosses 10.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nacional
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.25 xG 0.30
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
437 Passes 256
15 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.07.2026 Nacional Nacional 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
1-2
AWAY Nacional
0.92 xG 0.82
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
173 Passes 353
13 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional squeezed past Atletico Tigre 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Tigre at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.92 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Nacional?

Atletico Tigre 1-2 Nacional in the Copa Sudamericana on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 45%, draw 27%, Nacional 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tigre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CSA More Copa Sudamericana
29 Jul 2026
03:30 Santos vs UCV Analysis →