Santos 4-2 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 29 Jul 2026

Santos
4-2 HT 1-1
UCV
📅29/07/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Copa Sudamericana – 2026

Santos vs UCV Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.22
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
9.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.42
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
24.8
X/1
22%
3.56
X/2
3%
21.8
X/X
8%
7.7
2/1
9%
24.35
2/2
4%
20.6
2/X
6%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
77%
-5.9pp
19%
Draw
14%
+5.0pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v UCV — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 11%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 68%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.8 Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards –

Santos vs UCV Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
1W-0D-0L
AWAY UCV
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.41 xG 0.40
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
469 Passes 266
30 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.07.2026 UCV UCV 1-4 HT 0-1 Santos Santos CSA

Santos 4-2 UCV — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
4-2
AWAY UCV
3.84 xG 1.95
25 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
417 Passes 275
45 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santos vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos saw off UCV 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 3.84 to 1.95.

What was the final score of Santos vs UCV?

Santos 4-2 UCV in the Copa Sudamericana on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Santos 71%, draw 19%, UCV 9%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CSA More Copa Sudamericana
29 Jul 2026
01:00 Atletico Tigre vs Nacional Analysis →