Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2026

📅29/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.9
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
23%
4.28
X/2
7%
10.95
X/X
8%
6.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
18.95
2/2
9%
7.86
2/X
6%
16.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.95 — our 12% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.0pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 22%
-21% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.85/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.83
-8% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
489 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Genk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
06.12.2011 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen ŞMP
28.09.2011 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
4-0
AWAY Genk
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
FAQ Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Bayer Leverkusen ran out comfortable winners over Genk 4-0 in the Friendlies on 29 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, shots finished 18-5.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen have the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.50 for Genk.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk?

Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 Genk in the Friendlies on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 56%, draw 21%, Genk 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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