Girona 3-3 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2026

Girona
3-3 HT 1-2
CD Castellon
📅29/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Girona vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 30% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Girona v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 32%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.00/3.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.23
-100% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Girona vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
6W-0D-0L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.90 xG 0.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
213 Passes 339
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2021 Girona Girona 2-1 HT 2-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
24.10.2020 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-1 Girona Girona İS2
13.03.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS2
10.10.2009 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
24.05.2009 CD Castellon CD Castellon 1-2 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS2
20.12.2008 Girona Girona 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2

Girona 3-3 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
3-3
AWAY CD Castellon
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Girona vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona and CD Castellon couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Girona at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Girona and 0.33 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Girona vs CD Castellon?

Girona 3-3 CD Castellon in the Friendlies on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Girona 45%, draw 24%, CD Castellon 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Girona), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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