Unionistas 0-1 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2026

📅29/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 49%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+63% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unionistas
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Burgos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.05.2021 Unionistas Unionistas 1-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS3
01.12.2019 Burgos Burgos 0-3 HT 0-2 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unionistas
0-1
AWAY Burgos
4 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Unionistas vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos nicked a narrow win over Unionistas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Unionistas had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Unionistas and 0.00 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Unionistas vs Burgos?

Unionistas 0-1 Burgos in the Friendlies on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 27%, draw 26%, Burgos 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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