Watford 0-1 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jul 2026

Watford
0-1 HT 0-1
Fiorentina
📅29/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Watford vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.32
1/2
11%
23.95
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
12%
6.65
X/2
11%
5.38
X/X
13%
4.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.1
2/X
6%
12.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 12% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Watford v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Watford EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.78/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.77
-41% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -53%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 84%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.0 Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Watford 0-1 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Watford
0-1
AWAY Fiorentina
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Watford vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina edged past Watford 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Fiorentina made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-4.

What was the final score of Watford vs Fiorentina?

Watford 0-1 Fiorentina in the Friendlies on 29/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Watford vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Watford 36%, draw 27%, Fiorentina 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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