Girona vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-1
Girona
İS1
2-1
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
1-1
HT 1-1
Osasuna
İS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Osasuna
İSPK
0-1
HT 0-0
Osasuna
İS2
Girona 4-0 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics
Girona cruised past Osasuna 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Girona had 60% of the ball to Osasuna's 40%, shots finished 10-1, expected goals 2.42 to 0.04.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Girona and 1.00 for Osasuna.
What was the final score of Girona vs Osasuna?
Girona 4-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Osasuna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Girona 54%, draw 22%, Osasuna 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.