Seattle Sounders 0-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
13%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.5
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.37
X/2
12%
5.9
X/X
10%
4.43
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
17%
4.02
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.24/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.77
-44% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
31.0 Crosses 13.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.37 xG 1.30
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
463 Passes 283
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC CONLK
21.07.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
25.02.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
27.11.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
22.06.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
18.03.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
0-1
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.34 xG 1.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 406
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC edged past Seattle Sounders 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Los Angeles FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 43% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 57%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.34 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.67 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?

Seattle Sounders 0-1 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Open Cup on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 38%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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