Mes Rafsanjan 3-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.38
Draw
37%
2.66
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.28
Over 2.5
32%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.97
4-5 Goals
16%
9.0
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
38%
-9.8pp
37%
Draw
34%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
75%
-7.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
25%
+7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.35/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.06
+26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
409 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
15.06.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRANK
13.03.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-3 HT 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
21.09.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
07.02.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 2-1 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
31.08.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
23.02.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan saw off Aluminium Arak 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 37% / 35% — and on the day Mes Rafsanjan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 0.67 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Aluminium Arak?

Mes Rafsanjan 3-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 28%, draw 37%, Aluminium Arak 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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