Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.66
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.3pp
33%
Draw
34%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.41/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.34
-64% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.77 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
196 Passes 279
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
16.06.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
09.06.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
16.05.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
07.02.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
01.10.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga got the better of Santa Fe 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Bucaramanga made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.00 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?

Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Cup on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 34%, draw 33%, Santa Fe 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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