Reggiana 3-1 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.97
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.81
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
9%
6.12
X/2
19%
5.03
X/X
15%
3.56
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.54
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +16%
1.12/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.28
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
15.8 Crosses 22.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Empoli
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.76 xG 1.07
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
256 Passes 391
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2025 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTK
09.04.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 0-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
22.12.2020 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
3-1
AWAY Empoli
1.82 xG 0.36
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
369 Passes 202
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana beat Empoli 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 62% of the ball to Empoli's 38%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 1.82 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Empoli led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Reggiana and 0.67 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Empoli?

Reggiana 3-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie B on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 32%, draw 27%, Empoli 41%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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