Empoli 1-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 15 Aug 2025

Empoli
1-1 HT 0-1
Reggiana
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Empoli vs Reggiana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.11
1/2
4%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.93
X/2
13%
6.4
X/X
9%
4.49
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.65
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.2pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Empoli v Reggiana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 34%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+33% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Empoli vs Reggiana Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Reggiana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.92 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
393 Passes 312
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 0-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
22.12.2020 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB

Empoli 1-1 Reggiana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.37 xG 0.78
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
387 Passes 146
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Reggiana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Empoli had 68% of the ball to Reggiana's 32%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.37 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Empoli had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Empoli and 0.00 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Reggiana?

Empoli 1-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Cup on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Empoli 48%, draw 22%, Reggiana 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Empoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✓ Under 2.5
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