Lecce 2-0 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 15 Aug 2025

Lecce
2-0 HT 1-0
Juve Stabia
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Lecce vs Juve Stabia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.71
Over 2.5
55%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.9
6+ Goals
12%
18.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.9 — our 24% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.24
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
20%
4.06
X/2
6%
9.2
X/X
8%
4.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.83
2/X
7%
16.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
55%
-9.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
45%
+9.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.8pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecce v Juve Stabia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 23%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.94/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-52% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -42%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.6 Crosses –
0.6 Yellow Cards –

Lecce vs Juve Stabia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
13.09.2015 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-1 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTC
06.03.2015 Lecce Lecce 1-0 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTC

Lecce 2-0 Juve Stabia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce
2-0
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.82 xG 1.11
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
208 Passes 441
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 28
POST-MATCH Lecce vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce got the better of Juve Stabia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lecce as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecce had 35% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 65%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.82 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lecce had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lecce and 0.00 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Lecce vs Juve Stabia?

Lecce 2-0 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Cup on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lecce 56%, draw 23%, Juve Stabia 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecce) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecce) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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