Genoa 3-0 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 15 Aug 2025

Genoa
3-0 HT 2-0
Vicenza
📅15/08/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Genoa vs Vicenza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.5
X/1
19%
3.66
X/2
7%
16.35
X/X
5%
6.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.2
2/2
8%
14.7
2/X
6%
22.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.2 — our 12% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.0pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.4pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.4pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genoa v Vicenza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.05/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.48
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
396 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.8 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Genoa vs Vicenza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Vicenza
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
7 Corners 2
The Meetings
24.11.2010 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTK
17.04.2007 Genoa Genoa 2-0 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
09.09.2006 Vicenza Vicenza 1-2 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTB
20.02.2005 Vicenza Vicenza 2-2 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTB
06.10.2004 Genoa Genoa 5-2 HT 2-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTB
03.04.2004 Genoa Genoa 2-0 HT 1-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTB

Genoa 3-0 Vicenza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
3-0
AWAY Vicenza
2.21 xG 0.48
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
640 Passes 212
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Genoa vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa cruised past Vicenza 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Genoa as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Genoa had 71% of the ball to Vicenza's 29%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.21 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Genoa and 1.00 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Genoa vs Vicenza?

Genoa 3-0 Vicenza in the Italy - Cup on 15/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Genoa 64%, draw 17%, Vicenza 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genoa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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