Wacker Burghausen 4-1 Illertissen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
31%
-6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Illertissen EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.44/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.43
-15% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wacker Burghausen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Illertissen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
02.10.2024 Illertissen Illertissen 1-2 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 3-2 HT 1-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 2-1 HT 1-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-3 HT 0-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
23.08.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-0 HT 0-0 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wacker Burghausen vs Illertissen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wacker Burghausen ran out comfortable winners over Illertissen 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wacker Burghausen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wacker Burghausen and 1.50 for Illertissen.

What was the final score of Wacker Burghausen vs Illertissen?

Wacker Burghausen 4-1 Illertissen in the Germany - Regional League on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wacker Burghausen vs Illertissen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wacker Burghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wacker Burghausen 47%, draw 28%, Illertissen 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wacker Burghausen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wacker Burghausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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