Khalidiya 5-2 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain Super Cup, 29 Aug 2025

📅29/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.47
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 30% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
29.03.2025 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 1-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
02.04.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
08.10.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 7-1 HT 4-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
02.03.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
02.03.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-3 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
5-2
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya ran out comfortable winners over Al Ahli Manama 5-2. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Khalidiya had 62% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 38%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Khalidiya and 1.00 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Al Ahli Manama?

Khalidiya 5-2 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain Super Cup on 29/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 57%, draw 25%, Al Ahli Manama 18%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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